The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alloa Athletic 17.1%
Draw 21.3%
Livingston 61.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
24.8%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
23.1%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alloa Athletic's form might have worsened.
Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livingston's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livingston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Alloa Athletic - Livingston Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Stewart R. (G) 14. Eadson L. 24. Foster O. 17. Gallagher C. 4. Hetherington S. 22. McCafferty F. 10. Rankin L. 12. Scougall S. 7. Trialist A 8. Trialist B 3. Waters C.
1. Prior J. (G) 23. Culbert S. 22. Denholm A. 5. Kabongolo B. 14. Kerr C. 12. Muirhead R. 11. Nicholson S. 8. Pittman S. 18. Robertson M. 25. Smith L. 6. Wilkie J.
Substitutes
28. Allison J. 5. Graham A. 51. Trialist C 15. Trialist D 27. Trialist E
3. Fati B. 20. Hamilton J. (G) 9. Lang R. 19. May S. 15. McGowan R. 16. Polworth L. 2. Stevenson E. 7. Tabol A. 10. Trialist
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Nicholson S. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Denholm A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Robertson M. ↓, May S. ↑,
46', Denholm A. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
46', Prior J. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
46', Pittman S. ↓, McGowan R. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 1.
Alloa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Livingston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Livingston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Livingston is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:40. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.1:2.1).