Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Bolivia	DAZN
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Almería		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	1.68	4	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.15	Watch
	1.75	4.02	4.63
	1.72	4.05	4.44	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.33
	1.72	4.05	4.48	Watch
	1.71	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	3.97 ↑ (3.96)	4.37 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
54.8%

Draw
23.7%

FC Andorra
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	16%	20%

Almería - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Andorra will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 8. Gui Guedes 29. Dzodic S. 23. Embarba A. (C) 11. Arribas S. 7. Morcillo J. 24. de la Fuente M.	25. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Alonso G. 14. Molina S. (C) 19. Garcia I. 3. Cabanzon Y. 18. Domenech M. 6. Villahermosa D. 16. Jastin G. 11. Lauti 29. Kim M.
Substitutes
14. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 31. Iribarne B. (G) 12. Leo Baptistao 13. Martinez F. (G) 2. Puigmal A. 5. Rodrigo Ely 9. Thalys	8. Akman E. 23. Alende D. 10. Alvaro 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 22. Cardona M. 21. Cerda J. 24. Le Normand T. 15. Olabarrieta A. 13. Owono J. (G) 2. Petxa A. 1. Ratti N. (G) 20. Vila M.
Coaches
Rubi	Manso C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
12', Domenech M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Jastin G. ⚽, Carrique T. (A),
42', Carrique T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Morcillo J. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
46', Gui Guedes ↓, Baba I. ↑,
46', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Villahermosa D. ⚽,
54', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Olabarrieta A. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, de la Fuente M. ⚽, Bonini F. (A),
59', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
68', Chirino D. 🟨,
70', Lauti (Penalty Awarded),
74', Jastin G. ↓, Alvaro ↑,
74', Kim M. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
77', Baba I. 🟨,
79', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Puigmal A. (A),
86', Domenech M. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
86', Alonso G. ↓, Bombardo Poyato M. ↑,
90', Lauti 🟨,
90+5', Garcia I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16:5	11	21
16	Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandés - Almería	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLT
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.26	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Castellón - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	FC Andorra - Huesca	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mirandés - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.25	FC Andorra - Almería	1:2

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