Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi de la FAF (Encamp)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DSports 6


	FC Andorra		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.45	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.49	3.82	Watch
	2	3.3	3.5
	2	3.56	3.85
	2	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)	3.65 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
47.2%

Draw
27.2%

Leonesa
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Andorra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

FC Andorra - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andorra: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Andorra (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Alonso G. 14. Molina S. (C) 7. Calvo A. 10. Alvaro 8. Akman E. 6. Villahermosa D. 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti 29. Kim M.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 23. Diallo Selu M. 28. Ojeda T. 15. Ribeiro L. 10. Chacon L. 20. Tresaco R. 7. Collado D.
Substitutes
23. Alende D. 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 21. Cerda J. 18. Domenech M. 19. Garcia I. 24. Le Normand T. 15. Olabarrieta A. 2. Petxa A. 1. Ratti N. (G) 22. Uzkudun A. 12. Yaakobishvili A.	1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 17. Calero I. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 26. Rafus A. (G) 16. Ribeiro T. 3. Satrustegui E. 19. Sobrino R.
Coaches
Manso C.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽, Ojeda T. (A),
45+2', Barzic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim M. ↓, Olabarrieta A. ↑,
46', Alvaro ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
46', Nieto M. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
51', Calvo A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Cerda J. ⚽,
64', Ribeiro L. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
64', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
64', Chacon L. ↓, Bicho ↑,
67', Larios J. 🟨,
71', Collado D. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
73', Garcia V. 🟨,
76', Calvo A. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
88', Tresaco R. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
89', Villahermosa D. ↓, Le Normand T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Andorra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Andorra: Merquelanz M. (Hamstring Injury) Owono J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Andorra: Jastin G. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Andorra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Andorra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Ceuta - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	FC Andorra - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Valladolid - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	FC Andorra - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Las Palmas - Leonesa	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Leonesa - Levante	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.25	Leonesa - Huesca	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.05.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	1:1
19.10.24	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1

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