Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)

Referee: Busquets Ferrer M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore MAX, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Almería		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.92	3.49	2.54
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.83	3.48	2.48	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.72)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
33.5%

Draw
27.8%

Valencia
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	12.1%	60.6%

Almería - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Valencia will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 21. Chumi 22. Montes C. 3. Gonzalez E. 15. Akieme S. 6. Lopy D. 5. Robertone L. (C) 19. Arribas S. 11. Melero G. 10. Embarba A. 9. Suarez L.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Correia T. 3. Mosquera C. 4. Diakhaby M. 14. Gaya J. (C) 18. Pepelu 8. Guerra J. 23. Perez F. 10. Almeida A. 16. Lopez D. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
4. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 2. Kaiky 23. Kone I. 14. Lazaro 12. Leo Baptistao 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 24. Mendes H. 8. Puigmal A. 7. Ramazani L. 27. Sanca M.	19. Amallah S. 1. Domenech J. (G) 36. Dominguez M. 30. Gonzalez H. 27. Gozalbez P. 6. Guillamon H. 31. Iranzo R. 15. Ozkacar C. 13. Rivero C. (G) 29. Tarrega C.
Coaches
Moreno V.	Baraja R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1.

Almería has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valencia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Svidersky M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Mari A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Pozo A. (Injury) Pubill M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Foulquier D. (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Paulista (Muscle Injury) Vazquez J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Almería won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Almería - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Almería - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
11.08.23	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
16.09.23	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Valencia - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Valencia - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.04.23	Almería - Valencia	2:1
23.01.23	Valencia - Almería	2:2
23.05.15	Almería - Valencia	2:3
17.01.15	Valencia - Almería	3:2
27.03.14	Almería - Valencia	2:2
30.10.13	Valencia - Almería	1:2

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