Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Valencia		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.25
	2.48	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.49	3.13	3.26
	2.44	3.12	3.16	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.51	3.21	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)	3.18 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
39.3%

Draw
30.6%

Osasuna
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	33.3%	23.8%

Valencia - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Osasuna will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Osasuna (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Osasuna (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Valencia (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Osasuna (2.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Osasuna (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Osasuna (votes: 7 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 12. Rendall T. 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 14. Gaya J. (C) 17. Ramazani L. 2. Rodriguez G. 23. Ugrinic F. 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 6. Sadiq U.	1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Rosier V. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 20. Galan J. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 21. Munoz V. 14. Garcia R. (C) 18. Moro R. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
28. Abril V. (G) 10. Almeida A. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D. 27. Otorbi D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 13. Rivero C. (G) 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.	41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 22. Boyomo F. 23. Bretones A. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 16. Gomez M. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Rosier V. 🟨,
30', Gaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Rioja L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
58', Comert E. 🟨,
65', Herrera S. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Ramazani L. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Garcia R. ↓,
76', Ugrinic F. ↓, Tarrega C. ↑,
77', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
81', Moro R. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
81', Torro L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
81', Herrando J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
84', Gomez M. 🟨,
90', Sadiq U. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
90', Ramazani L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
90+3', Moncayola J. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
90+5', Rendall T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.

Recent form of Valencia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Osasuna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Valencia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Valencia: Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Lopez D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Oroz A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Hamstring Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Osasuna: Boyomo F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.31% Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.02%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Betis - Valencia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
21.02.26	Osasuna - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Elche - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Osasuna - Valencia	1:0
02.03.25	Osasuna - Valencia	3:3
24.09.24	Valencia - Osasuna	0:0
15.04.24	Osasuna - Valencia	0:1
27.08.23	Valencia - Osasuna	1:2
11.03.23	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0
07.10.22	Osasuna - Valencia	1:2

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