Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Referee: Gil Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN+
World	Prima+ app


	Valencia		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.8
	1.83	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.84	3.5	5.17
	1.83	3.38	5.18	Watch
	1.8	3.4	5
	1.86	3.6	4.99	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)	4.92 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
52.8%

Draw
27.7%

Las Palmas
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	9.6%	3.8%

Valencia - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (88 of 102 users predict this - 86.27%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.59% – 92.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Correia T. 15. Tarrega C. 3. Mosquera C. 39. Ro 7. Canos S. 18. Pepelu (C) 5. Barrenechea E. 22. Rioja L. 17. Gomez D. 9. Duro H.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 24. Januzaj A. 29. Essugo D. 8. Campana J. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F.
Substitutes
10. Almeida A. 2. Caufriez M. 13. Dimitrievski S. (G) 1. Domenech J. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 24. Gasiorowski Y. 14. Gaya J. 8. Guerra J. 6. Guillamon H. 16. Lopez D. 23. Perez F. 30. Valera G.	9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 6. Gonzalez F. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 5. Javier Munoz 12. Loiodice E. 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 7. Pejino 11. Ramirez B.
Coaches
Baraja R.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Silva F. 🟨,
8', Pepelu 🟨,
8', Rioja L. 🟨,
12', Campana J. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Pepelu (Pen),
23', Essugo D. 🟨,
28', Viti 🟨,
30', Ro 🟨,
37', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Munoz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Silva F. ⚽, Campana J. (A),
55', Barrenechea E. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
55', Canos S. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
59', Campana J. ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
66', Silva F. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
66', Ro ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
66', Januzaj A. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
69', Pepelu 🟥,
70', Cardona M. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
74', Viti ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
74', Munoz A. ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
75', Correia T. ↓, Foulquier D. ↑,
75', Gomez D. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
77', Alex Suarez 🟨,
82', Javier Munoz 🟨,
84', 1 - 3, Moleiro A. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
90+4', 2 - 3, Tarrega C. ⚽, Gaya J. (A),
90+8', Moleiro A. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 2.

Recent matches Valencia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valencia is a favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Diakhaby M. (Knee Injury) Mir R. (Muscle Injury) Vazquez J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Marvin (Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Domenech J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Ramirez S. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Valencia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Friendly
12.10.24	Mexico - Valencia	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.10.24	Leganés - Valencia	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Real Sociedad - Valencia	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Valencia - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Valencia - Girona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLTW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
05.10.24	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
30.09.24	Villarreal - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
26.09.24	Las Palmas - Betis	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.02.24	Las Palmas - Valencia	2:0
18.08.23	Valencia - Las Palmas	1:0
20.01.18	Las Palmas - Valencia	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
09.01.18	Valencia - Las Palmas	4:0
03.01.18	Las Palmas - Valencia	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
18.08.17	Valencia - Las Palmas	1:0
30.01.17	Las Palmas - Valencia	3:1

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