What is the expert prediction for Villarreal vs Almería?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Villarreal vs Almería. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Villarreal vs Almería Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, September 17, 2023)

Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Villarreal		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.5	5	6	Watch
	1.48	5	5.5
	1.53	5	5.76
	1.36	4.5	5.8
	1.49	4.95	5.65	Watch
	1.52	5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	4.85 ↑ (4.48)	5.75 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
64%

Draw
19.6%

Almería
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.1%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	5.8%	15.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 41 - 78.8%). Almería will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 67.7% – 89.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jorgensen F. (G) 8. Foyth J. 2. Gabbia M. 3. Albiol R. (C) 37. Romero C. 10. Parejo D. 6. Capoue E. 16. Baena A. 7. Moreno G. 11. Sorloth A. 21. Pino Y.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 21. Chumi 22. Montes C. 3. Gonzalez E. 15. Akieme S. 6. Lopy D. 5. Robertone L. (C) 10. Embarba A. 19. Arribas S. 11. Melero G. 9. Suarez L.
Substitutes
27. Akhomach I. 9. Brereton Diaz B. 4. Comesana S. 5. Cuenca J. 17. Kiko 23. Mandi A. 15. Morales J. L. 18. Moreno A. 1. Reina P. (G) 22. Suarez D. 14. Trigueros M.	4. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 2. Kaiky 23. Kone I. 14. Lazaro 12. Leo Baptistao 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 24. Mendes H. 29. Milovanovic M. 8. Puigmal A. 7. Ramazani L.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Moreno V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Villarreal is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-1.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
01.09.23	Cádiz - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Villarreal - Barcelona	3:4 ✺
18.08.23	Mallorca - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Newcastle United - Villarreal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
01.09.23	Almería - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Almería - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
11.08.23	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Granada - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.03.23	Almería - Villarreal	0:2
23.10.22	Villarreal - Almería	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.18	Villarreal - Almería	8:0
01.11.18	Almería - Villarreal	3:3
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.15	Almería - Villarreal	0:0
19.10.14	Villarreal - Almería	2:0
19.01.14	Villarreal - Almería	2:0

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Villarreal - Almería: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide