The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almere City 17.9%
Draw 23.7%
AZ Alkmaar 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
22.1%
60.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.6%
21.2%
63.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.2%
3.4%
79.3%
Almere City - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
AZ Alkmaar will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% โ 95.92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 2. Floranus S. 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Visus R. 14. Zagaritis V. 8. Resink S. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 23. Balboa A. 21. Guillaume B. 9. Robinet T. (C) 17. Hansen K.
41. Zoet J. (G) 18. Wolfe D. M. 22. Dekker M. 3. Goes W. 16. Maikuma S. 6. Koopmeiners P. 8. Clasie J. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 11. Sadiq I. 9. Parrott T. 19. van Brederode M.
Substitutes
20. Akujobi H. 36. Beaumont G. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 25. Mamengi C. 24. Mattoir F. 16. Nalic A. 34. Pinas J. 39. Poku E. 37. Puriel J. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
17. Addai J. 25. Bazoer R. 14. Belic K. 27. Buurmeester Z. 31. Deen D. (G) 30. Kasius D. 5. Penetra 21. Poku E. 7. van Bommel R. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 28. Zeefuik L.
Coaches
Maduro H.
Martens M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Sadiq I. ⚽,
19', Dekker M. 🟥,
35', Guillaume B. 🟥,
45+4', Resink S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Sadiq I. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
59', Jacobs Jo. ↓, Akujobi H. ↑,
59', Resink S. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
73', Parrott T. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
79', Visus R. 🟥,
81', Hansen K. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
81', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Mamengi C. ↑,
86', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
86', Balboa A. ↓, Beaumont G. ↑,
89', Maikuma S. 🟨,
90', van Brederode M. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
Preview
Recent matches Almere City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
AZ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Almere City have a series of guest games.
Recently AZ have a series of home games.
In this match AZ is a favorite.
There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.