Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Waalwijk		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.35
	2.72	3.55	2.38
	2.77	3.76	2.42
	2.86	3.41	2.34	Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.4
	2.69	3.68	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.69)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.37 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
34.4%

Draw
26.4%

Almere City
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Waalwijk - Almere City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Waalwijk (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Almere City (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Altena J. 3. van Eijma R. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 15. Wouters L. 6. Roemeratoe G. 10. van der Venne R. 8. Weidmann D. 17. Kuijpers R. 9. Uneken J. 14. Lokesa C.	1. Wendlinger J. (G) 2. Reith B. 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 15. Engel M. 21. el Dahri H. 6. Cornelisse E. 7. Burgering B. 10. Rijkhoff J. 11. Kadile J. 9. Druijf F.
Substitutes
5. Familia-Castillo J. 29. Kramer M. 20. Kuster H. 13. Mulder X. (G) 35. Postma L. 11. van der Leij T. 18. van Hedel R. 1. van Osch Y. (G) 25. Witteveen M.	24. Beaumont G. 5. Bijleveld T. 8. de Haan M. 29. Huisman B. 20. Kalisvaart J. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 17. Poku E. 28. Providence R. 25. Sam A. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 26. van der Zeeuw T. 32. Vianello T.
Coaches
Duits S.	Rijsdijk J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Weidmann D. ⚽, Lokesa C. (A),
39', Lokesa C. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Burgering B. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
46', Kadile J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
46', Lawrence J. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Kuijpers R. ⚽, Roemeratoe G. (A),
58', Wouters L. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
67', Weidmann D. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
68', van der Venne R. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
68', Kuijpers R. ↓, Postma L. ↑,
75', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
75', el Dahri H. ↓, de Haan M. ↑,
90+2', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.

Waalwijk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Almere City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Schaapman M. (Knee Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.25	FC Eindhoven - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Waalwijk - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Twente - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTWLL
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.25	Almere City - Willem II	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Emmen - Almere City	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Almere City - Umm-Salal	5:2 ✺
12.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	3:2 ✺
03.07.25	Heerenveen - Almere City	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Almere City - Waalwijk	1:4
03.11.24	Waalwijk - Almere City	2:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Almere City - Waalwijk	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.24	Waalwijk - Almere City	0:0
07.10.23	Almere City - Waalwijk	1:0
Club Friendly
14.08.20	Almere City - Waalwijk	4:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.02.19	Waalwijk - Almere City	0:1

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