Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)


	Stoke City		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.75	3.6	1.9
	3.55	3.51	1.87
	3.63	3.77	1.91	Watch
	3.71	3.72	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.68)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
25.6%

Draw
25.7%

AZ Alkmaar
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.8%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.5%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Stoke City - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 77. Bocat E. . Burger W. 9. Gallagher S. 6. Gibson B. 2. Gooch L. 28. Laurent J. 42. Manhoef M. 24. Tchamadeu J. 15. Thompson J. 16. Wilmot B.	41. Zoet J. (G) 8. Clasie J. 3. Goes W. 6. Koopmeiners P. 16. Maikuma S. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 9. Parrott T. 11. Sadiq I. 19. van Brederode M. 18. Wolfe D. M.
Substitutes
5. Anderson F. 8. Baker L. 13. Bonham J. (G) . Dixon J. 14. Ennis N. 34. Fielding F. (G) 27. Leris M. 35. Lowe N. . Sidibe S. 22. Tezgel E.	17. Addai J. 25. Bazoer R. 28. Buurmeester Z. 22. Dekker M. 30. Kasius D. . Kuijsten T. (G) 5. Penetra 21. Poku E. 7. van Bommel R. 12. Verhulst H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Johansson V. 🟨,
30', Gallagher S. ↓, Ennis N. ↑,
37', Burger W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽,
58', Thompson J. 🟥,
58', Clasie J. 🟥,
70', 🟨,
72', Bocat E. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
72', Gibson B. ↓, Dixon J. ↑,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Stoke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stoke have a series of guest games.

Recently AZ have a series of home games.

AZ will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Bolton Wanderers - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Stockport County - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Cork City - Stoke City	0:5 ✺
11.07.24	Chester - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendly
31.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
24.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Aris	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWWW

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