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Current Win Probability
Almere City 38.9%
Draw 32%
Waalwijk 29.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.9%
23.7%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
23.1%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
50%
12.5%
Almere City - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wendlinger J. (G) 2. Reith B. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 16. Takahashi N. 21. el Dahri H. 8. de Haan M. 17. Poku E. 10. Rijkhoff J. 28. Providence R. 9. Druijf F.
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 55. Held N. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 7. Cleonise D. 35. Postma L. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 12. Fage R. 20. Kuster H. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
5. Bijleveld T. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 15. Engel M. 37. Ghogli I. 29. Huisman B. 23. Jacobs Ja. 3. Jacobs Jo. 20. Kalisvaart J. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 25. Sam A. 30. van der Wilt J. (G)
19. Bakboord N. 14. Boetius J-P. 26. Bramel T. (G) 29. Kramer M. 28. van Beekveld Q. 11. van der Leij T. 30. van der Veen Y. 4. van Gelderen L. 18. van Hedel R. 8. van Kaam D. 1. van Osch Y. (G) 25. Witteveen M.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.
Duits S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, Uneken J. (A),
25', 1 - 1, van Eijma R. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 2, Uneken J. ⚽, Held N. (A),
29', Druijf F. 🟨,
36', Held N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Fage R. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
63', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Ghogli I. ↑,
63', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
63', Providence R. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
70', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van Gelderen L. ↑,
70', Cleonise D. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
75', el Dahri H. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
76', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Wouters L. (Own goal),
79', Kuster H. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
79', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
86', Ghogli I. 🟨,
90+3', Jacobs Ja. 🟨,
90+3', van der Veen Y. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
Almere City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Waalwijk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Almere City has had a series of away games.
Almere City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
van Gelderen L.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.6:1.7).
Netherlands
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Wendlinger J. (G) 
Reith B. 
Lawrence J. (C) 
Takahashi N. 
Providence R. 
Held N. 
Familia-Castillo J. 
Fage R. 
Bakboord N. 
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