Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 17

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Almere City		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.2	3.5	Watch
	1.85	3.95	3.55
	1.87	4.07	3.8
	1.68	4.12	4.27	Watch
	1.84	4.18	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	4.1 ↓ (4.12)	3.72 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
51.9%

Draw
22.9%

VVV-Venlo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Almere City - VVV Venlo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Almere City (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almere City will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wendlinger J. (G) 25. Sam A. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 32. Vianello T. 20. Kalisvaart J. 8. de Haan M. 7. Burgering B. 10. Rijkhoff J. 17. Poku E. 9. Druijf F.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 2. Mokono S. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 16. Heise P. 5. de Blok L. 10. Triep J. 20. Eijgenraam J. 25. Foor N. 45. Janssen T. 9. Zandbergen D. 11. Ait Mouhou N.
Substitutes
24. Beaumont G. 5. Bijleveld T. 6. Cornelisse E. 21. el Dahri H. 15. Engel M. 23. Jacobs Ja. 3. Jacobs Jo. 11. Kadile J. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 28. Providence R. 2. Reith B. 30. van der Wilt J. (G)	31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 15. Joosten T. 27. Kromah L. 24. Odriss M. 14. Reinders T. 17. Saddiki D. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 8. van Oorschot D. 18. van Zijl B. 3. Verheij L.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Uneken P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Burgering B. (A),
24', Blancquart G. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kalisvaart J. (A),
35', Triep J. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
55', Sam A. 🟨,
60', Janssen T. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
67', Lawrence J. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
67', Sam A. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
72', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
72', Zandbergen D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
73', Druijf F. ↓, Kadile J. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
82', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
82', Burgering B. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.

There will not play in Almere City: Wendlinger J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
07.11.25	Almere City - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
03.11.25	Dordrecht - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Sparta Nijkerk - Almere City	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.06.23	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	2:1 penalties
30.05.23	VVV-Venlo - Almere City	1:1
13.03.23	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	1:3
05.08.22	VVV-Venlo - Almere City	3:0
25.02.22	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	0:1
21.08.21	VVV-Venlo - Almere City	2:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.20	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	1:4

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