Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra


	VVV-Venlo		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.41	Watch
	5.9	4.7	1.43
	3.66	3.74	1.85	Watch
	5.94	4.45	1.47
	4.8	4.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.81)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
17.9%

Draw
21.5%

Heerenveen
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.1%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.6%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

VVV Venlo - Heerenveen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Venlo (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 25%). Heerenveen (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Doornbusch T. (G) 2. Mokono S. 3. Verheij L. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 5. de Blok L. 20. Eijgenraam J. 6. Kluskens J. 27. Kromah L. 25. Foor N. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 8. van Oorschot D.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 28. Petrov H. 6. van Overeem J. 10. Meerveld R. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 20. Trenskow J. 27. Sejk V. 7. Rivera M.
Substitutes
31. Davis M. 46. De Graef J. 47. Hendrix D. 45. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 17. Saddiki D. 13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 22. Taylan Z. (G) 37. van Zutphen D. 7. Wehmeyer L. 9. Zandbergen D.	35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 34. Bouw R. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 16. Linday M. 44. Noppert A. (G) 33. Rijssel J. 26. van Axel Dongen A. 9. Vente D. 19. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Uneken P.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Kromah L. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Sejk V. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kromah L. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Meerveld R. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
56', Doornbusch T. ↓, Schoonderwaldt Y. ↑,
63', Brouwers L. ↓, Linday M. ↑,
63', Trenskow J. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
63', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Janssen T. ↑,
63', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Zandbergen D. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Verheij L. (Own goal),
77', Foor N. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
80', Braude O. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
85', Rivera M. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
85', Willemsen M. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 0.

Recent performances by Venlo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heerenveen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Venlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Heerenveen is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
24.10.25	Heerenveen - NAC Breda	3:3 ✺
19.10.25	Telstar - Heerenveen	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.10.25	Heerenveen - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Utrecht - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Heerenveen - VVV-Venlo	5:1
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	1:1
26.09.20	Heerenveen - VVV-Venlo	1:0
08.02.20	Heerenveen - VVV-Venlo	1:1
28.09.19	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	0:3
23.04.19	Heerenveen - VVV-Venlo	2:2
01.09.18	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	1:1

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