The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 35.5%
Draw 25.7%
VVV-Venlo 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
23.7%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
22.7%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VVV-Venlo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
10%
40%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV Venlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Venlo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 19% โ 81%.
1. Deen D. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Menu M. 4. Natali A. 5. van Duijl B. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. Budko B. 7. Hartog J. 10. Toppenberg K. 11. Bouziane W. 9. van Duijn S.
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 31. Davis M. 33. Blancquart G. 15. Joosten T. 5. de Blok L. 20. Eijgenraam J. 25. Foor N. 27. Kromah L. 10. Triep J. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Zandbergen D.
Substitutes
. Adjedj E. 18. de Flart O. 23. Schipper J. (G) . Smits A. 19. van den Ban Y. 12. van der Klaauw D. 20. Van Der Velde Y. 16. Zeggen K. (G)
1. Doornbusch T. (G) 47. Hendrix D. 45. Janssen T. 6. Kluskens J. 2. Mokono S. 24. Odriss M. 14. Reinders T. 17. Saddiki D. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 37. van Zutphen D. 3. Verheij L.
Coaches
Echteld L.
Uneken P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, de Blok L. (Pen),
14', Twisk N. 🟨,
21', Menu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Budko B. ↓, Van Der Velde Y. ↑,
46', Davis M. ↓, Mokono S. ↑,
54', 🟨,
65', Foor N. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
65', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
65', Joosten T. ↓, Reinders T. ↑,
71', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
76', Triep J. ↓, Janssen T. ↑,
76', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
78', Natali A. ↓, Adjedj E. ↑,
86', Hartog J. 🟨,
89', Hartog J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
89', Zwart J. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, de Blok L. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Venlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Venlo has had a series of home games.
Jong AZ might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Daal R.
(Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Kwakman D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
Wehmeyer L.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Jong AZ: Budko B.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).