The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dordrecht 29.8%
Draw 23.3%
Almere City 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
24.1%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
23.2%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.8%
0%
96.2%
Dordrecht - Almere City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%). Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almere City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Osch Y. (G) 22. van Aken J. 4. Pinas J. (C) 3. Henderikx S. 5. Mpanzu B. 8. Vugts S. 6. Riccio L. 16. Roman L. 21. Vetkal M. 11. Rossi N. 77. Sits D.
1. Speel W. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 5. Bijleveld T. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 8. de Haan M. 7. Burgering B. 18. Huisman B. 11. Dors M.
Substitutes
14. Bae S. 28. Coremans T. (G) 9. de Bie J. 51. Gardenier L. 44. Hardley B. 2. Lechkar A. 15. M'Bemba Y. 13. Oldenstam F. (G) 10. Ouarghi A. 23. Woudenberg L.
25. Ghogli I. 10. Jacobs Ja. 20. Kalisvaart J. 38. Lenssen L. 24. Mateyo M. (G) 17. Poku E. 44. van Bruggen D. 30. van der Wilt J. 26. van der Zeeuw T.
Coaches
Nuijten P.
Dastgir A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, de Nijs O. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Mpanzu B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', de Haan M. ↓, Kalisvaart J. ↑,
46', Burgering B. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
46', de Nijs O. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Henderikx S. ⚽, Roman L. (A),
59', Sits D. ↓, Gardenier L. ↑,
60', Roman L. ↓, Ouarghi A. ↑,
65', Mpanzu B. 🟨,
71', Vetkal M. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
77', Henderikx S. 🟨,
80', Bijleveld T. ↓, Ghogli I. ↑,
80', Cornelisse E. ↓, Lenssen L. ↑,
85', Riccio L. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
85', Rossi N. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Jacobs Jo. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Ouarghi A. ⚽, M'Bemba Y. (A),
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 19th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 0.
Dordrecht is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Almere City shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Almere City holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Almere City: Vianello T.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Dordrecht: Artic T.
(Injury)
Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
Raatsie C.
(Hand Injury)
Venema N.
(Groin Injury)
de Bie J.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Almere City: Ritmeester van de Kamp J.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Almere City in today's match, at odds of 2.01.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:40 (averaging 1.1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dordrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.4:1.8 per game).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Almere City: 12.5% Dordrecht: 0.65%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Almere City
10
7
1
2
22:7
15
22
19
Dordrecht
10
2
2
6
13:27
-14
8
Last Results with these Odds
Dordrecht - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.54%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
Watch
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van Osch Y. (G) 
Mpanzu B. 
Riccio L. 
Vetkal M. 
Rossi N. 
Sits D. 
Lawrence J. (C) 
Dors M. 
Bae S. 
M'Bemba Y. 
Ouarghi A. 
Dastgir A. 
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