The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almere City 56.4%
Draw 22%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
23.1%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
21.4%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
15.4%
15.4%
Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 44.1% โ 94.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almere City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wendlinger J. (G) 2. Reith B. 3. Jacobs Jo. (C) 22. van de Blaak E. 5. Bijleveld T. 8. de Haan M. 28. Providence R. 7. Burgering B. 6. Cornelisse E. 11. Kadile J. 10. Rijkhoff J.
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 5. van Duijl B. 3. Menu M. 4. Natali A. 8. Budko B. 6. Twisk N. (C) 7. Toppenberg K. 10. Boogaard K. 9. van Duijn S. 11. Bouziane W.
Substitutes
24. Beaumont G. 19. de Nijs O. 40. Dors M. 21. el Dahri H. 15. Engel M. 20. Kalisvaart J. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 17. Poku E. 25. Sam A. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 26. van der Zeeuw T. 32. Vianello T.
12. de Wit H. 17. Hartog J. 14. Ouaziz A. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 15. Simons S. 20. Smits A. 19. van den Ban Y. 18. van der Klaauw D.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
27', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
38', Bijleveld T. ↓, van der Zeeuw T. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Burgering B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Boogaard K. ⚽, Zwart J. (A),
54', de Haan M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, van Duijn S. (Pen),
64', Burgering B. ↓, Beaumont G. ↑,
64', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
64', Cornelisse E. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
75', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
76', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
81', Menu M. 🟨,
83', de Haan M. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
Almere City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
There are questionable in Almere City: Druijf F.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).