Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Almeria B		Estepona

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.55	1.6
	5.41	4.21	1.64
	5.25	4.22	1.52	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	5.86	3.88	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (4.19)	3.87 ↑ (3.39)	1.56 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
17.2%

Draw
23.7%

Estepona
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

27.2%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Almeria B - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Soria Blazquez R. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Taufek B. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', Kone A. 🟥,
82', 1 - 2, Ballarin D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Almeria B is Relegated to

Recent form of Almeria B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Estepona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Estepona is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Almeria B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.04.26	Almeria B - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Melilla - Almeria B	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Antoniano - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Almeria B - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.04.26	Estepona - Melilla	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Estepona - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Estepona	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Estepona - La Unión	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Estepona - Almeria B	1:1
13.04.25	Almeria B - Estepona	1:2
30.11.24	Estepona - Almeria B	0:1

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