The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorca Deportiva 39.6%
Draw 30.8%
Estepona 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
29%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
27.9%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorca Deportiva's form might have worsened.
Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lorca Deportiva - Estepona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Exposito S. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Herrero A. ⚽,
90+3', Escobar Hernandez J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Lorca Deportiva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.