Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Estepona		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	2.15	2.98	3.25
	2.3	2.96	3.36
	2.25	3.04	3.2	Watch
	2.16	2.94	3.37
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	3.18 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
40.7%

Draw
30.6%

CD Extremadura
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

30%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Extremadura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estepona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Extremadura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estepona - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Dieguito ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Extremadura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Estepona - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Estepona	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Estepona - La Unión	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Puente Genil - Estepona	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Antoniano - Estepona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLWW
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.03.26	CD Extremadura - Melilla	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	CD Extremadura - Águilas	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Almeria B - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	CD Extremadura - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	CD Extremadura - Estepona	3:2

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