Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Almeria B		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.05	2.02
	3.34	3.18	2.19
	3.38	3.17	2.08	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
27.5%

Draw
29.1%

UCAM Murcia
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.9%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Almeria B - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Marin A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Burgos I. ⚽,
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Soto A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 0.

Almeria B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UCAM Murcia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UCAM Murcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Almeria B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	Xerez CD - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Minera - Almeria B	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	0:0
24.11.24	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	0:1
24.02.19	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	2:0
07.10.18	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	0:1
17.01.16	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	2:0
30.08.15	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	0:2
10.05.15	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	2:0

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