Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)


	Almería		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.28	6	10	Watch
	1.24	5.5	9.75
	1.24	5.8	11
	1.23	5.8	10
	1.27	6.06	12.09
	1.32	4.75	10	Watch
	1.24	6.2	12.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	5.73 ↑ (5.44)	10.73 ↑ (10.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
74.8%

Draw
16.4%

Alcorcón
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

17.6%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Almería - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Almería will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Alcorcón is Relegated to

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (78.97%), has project points - 83, has currently - 79, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a good chance of win league (79%).

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (100%), has project points - 27, has currently - 25, was already of relegated.

This event has quality 34, importance 50, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 2.

Almería in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcorcón is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Almería is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Almería won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
13.05.22	Real Sociedad B - Almería	0:2 ✺
07.05.22	Almería - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
30.04.22	Burgos - Almería	0:2 ✺
25.04.22	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Valladolid - Almería	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
15.05.22	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	0:2 ✺
08.05.22	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:3 ✺
01.05.22	Alcorcón - Girona	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Cartagena - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.09.21	Alcorcón - Almería	0:4
15.03.21	Almería - Alcorcón	0:0
06.12.20	Alcorcón - Almería	0:1
25.06.20	Almería - Alcorcón	0:1
19.10.19	Alcorcón - Almería	2:2
26.05.19	Almería - Alcorcón	0:0
13.01.19	Alcorcón - Almería	0:0

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