Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Almería		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4	6
	1.45	4.2	7
	1.48	4.1	6.2
	1.5	4.37	7.45
	1.52	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.33	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.14 ↑ (4)	6.69 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
63.3%

Draw
22.7%

Amorebieta
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

23.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

24.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	10.7%	7.1%

Almería - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Almería will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (49.92%), has project points - 80, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a good chance of promoted (95%), has a chance of win league (50%).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 20 (49.57%), has project points - 42, has currently - 37, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 34, big importance 84, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Almería is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Almería is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Almería to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
30.04.22	Burgos - Almería	0:2 ✺
25.04.22	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Valladolid - Almería	2:2 ✺
11.04.22	Almería - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
03.04.22	Huesca - Almería	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.22	Amorebieta - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Amorebieta - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Las Palmas - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Amorebieta - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Amorebieta - Almería	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.21	Amorebieta - Almería	2:1

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