Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Apezteguia I. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.87
	4.2	3.3	1.9
	3.9	3.45	1.87
	4.23	3.6	1.94
				Watch
	4.05	3.72	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.18)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
23.2%

Draw
27%

Las Palmas
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.5%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	16.2%	70.3%

Alcorcón - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 55.6% – 85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Alcorcón is Relegated to

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (99.47%), has project points - 28, has currently - 25, was already of relegated.

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 8 (42.58%), has project points - 65, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, small importance 19, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 0.

Alcorcón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.22	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:3 ✺
01.05.22	Alcorcón - Girona	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Cartagena - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
06.05.22	Las Palmas - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
29.04.22	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	Eibar - Las Palmas	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Las Palmas - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.21	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	3:0
08.05.21	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	0:0
13.12.20	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0
22.02.20	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	1:1
09.11.19	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	1:1
23.02.19	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	2:0
06.10.18	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0

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