Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Almirante Brown		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.19	2.95	3.25
	2.36	2.94	3.56
	2.25	2.88	3.2
	2.21	3.14	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)	2.97 ↓ (3.01)	3.32 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
41.4%

Draw
30.9%

Quilmes
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

31.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

21.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almirante Brown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quilmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almirante Brown - Quilmes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Play Offs: Final) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quilmes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Almirante Brown will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.10.21	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
11.10.21	Temperley - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
04.10.21	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTTT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.10.21	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	1:3 ✺
09.10.21	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Mitre - Quilmes	4:0 ✺
25.09.21	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.21	Quilmes - Almirante Brown	3:1

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