The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 68.5%
Draw 19.9%
Siracusa 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.2%
19.1%
10.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.7%
17.7%
9.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Benevento - Siracusa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 25. Romano R. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. (C) 4. Prisco A. 11. Lamesta D. 9. Salvemini F. 18. Simonetti P. 93. Tumminello M.
22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 5. Pacciardi F. 4. Sapola M. 3. Cancellieri D. 24. Limonelli C. 28. Frisenna G. 77. Di Paolo S. 17. Candiano M. (C) 19. Valente N. 14. Contini G.
Substitutes
19. Borghini D. 33. Caldirola L. 7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 10. Manconi J. 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 77. Pierozzi E. 1. Russo D. (G) 38. Talia A. 6. Viscardi A.
9. Arditi G. 25. Bonacchi C. 12. Bonucci B. (G) 13. Falla R. 20. Gudelevicius E. 42. Iob S. 30. Morreale M. 10. Pannitteri O. 7. Sbaffo A. 96. Sylla A. (G) 33. Zanini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Di Paolo S. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Maita M. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Simonetti P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sapola M. ↓, Bonacchi C. ↑,
48', Cancellieri D. 🟨,
56', Frisenna G. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
71', Romano R. ↓, Pierozzi E. ↑,
72', Lamesta D. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
74', Contini G. ↓, Arditi G. ↑,
79', Tumminello M. ↓, Manconi J. ↑,
80', Prisco A. ↓, Talia A. ↑,
82', Salvemini F. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
84', Puzone M. ↓, Zanini M. ↑,
84', Candiano M. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
88', Arditi G. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Pacciardi F. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Benevento is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Siracusa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Benevento is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Benevento will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benevento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.