Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Altrincham		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.25	3.25	2.14
	3.3	3.15	2.14
	3.54	3.23	2.21
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.14	3.52	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.31)	3.29 ↓ (3.52)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
28.6%

Draw
28.3%

Grimsby Town
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.5%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

17.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Altrincham - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Altrincham will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Grimsby will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altrincham: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
02.10.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Altrincham	2:3 ✺
28.09.21	Altrincham - King`s Lynn Town	4:1 ✺
28.09.21	Altrincham - King`s Lynn Town	N/A ✺
25.09.21	Altrincham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Wealdstone - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WW?WL
- Grimsby Town
English National League
02.10.21	Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic	6:0 ✺
28.09.21	Bromley - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Maidenhead United - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Grimsby Town - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
14.09.21	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.01.16	Grimsby Town - Altrincham	5:0
18.08.15	Altrincham - Grimsby Town	2:1
15.11.14	Altrincham - Grimsby Town	1:1
07.10.14	Grimsby Town - Altrincham	0:0

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