Match Info

National League - Round 23

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Moss Lane (Altrincham)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Altrincham		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.8
	3.8	3.65	1.82
	4.02	3.66	1.88
	3.85	3.75	1.84	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.85
	3.81	3.48	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.13)	3.62 ↓ (3.73)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
24.1%

Draw
25.5%

Rochdale
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.6%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Altrincham - Rochdale Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 23. Golden T. 4. Baines L. 34. Sassi D. 33. Jones E. 14. Kosylo M. 22. Crawford T. 17. Weaver L. 8. Marriott I. 7. Crankshaw O. 11. Knowles J.	25. Broome N. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. 37. Galvin R. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 17. Pritchard J. 35. Waller C. 21. McBride C. 40. Henderson I.
Substitutes
41. Beddow M. (G) 5. Cooper J. 9. Gale J. 18. German O. 40. Kirk C. 20. Reddin K. 10. Ward K.	12. Amantchi L. 19. Burger J. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 10. Rodney D. 38. Smith T. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Pritchard J. ⚽, Henderson I. (A),
35', 0 - 2, McBride C. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
45', McBride C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Weaver L. ↓, Reddin K. ↑,
71', Gilmour H. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
71', Henderson I. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
72', Pritchard J. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Smith T. ⚽, Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
77', Waller C. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
77', Jones E. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
78', Knowles J. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
84', McBride C. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altrincham won 1.

Altrincham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rochdale is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Rochdale is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Altrincham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Altrincham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	4:3 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Southend United - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Altrincham - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- Rochdale AFC
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Leamington - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Rochdale - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.08.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	2:1
18.04.25	Altrincham - Rochdale	1:2
11.03.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	3:0
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	2:0
English National League
10.02.24	Altrincham - Rochdale	3:0
21.11.23	Rochdale - Altrincham	3:0

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