Match Info

National League - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	9.5
	1.31	5.15	8.4
	1.32	5.16	9.25
	1.32	4.97	8.65	Watch
	1.32	4.86	9.71
	1.3	5.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	5.04 ↑ (4.97)	9 ↑ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
71.1%

Draw
18.5%

Eastleigh
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18.7%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

17.3%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Rochdale - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Broome N. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 17. Pritchard J. 10. Rodney D.	1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 7. Evans K. 6. Eweka T. 5. Fernandez L. 27. Harris A. 4. Humphries L. 17. Lundstram J. 9. McCallum P. (C) 15. Saunders H. 14. Waite J.
Substitutes
12. Amantchi L. 18. Barlow A. 19. Burger J. 3. Galvin R. 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C.	11. Blair A. 21. Davis S. 22. McNamara J. (G) 16. Pierre A. 3. Vokins J. 18. Waruih A. 33. Whitehead T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Humphries L. (Own goal),
62', Rodney D. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
63', Pritchard J. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
70', Saunders H. ↓, Blair A. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Allarakhia T. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
78', Allarakhia T. ↓, Galvin R. ↑,
78', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
81', Lundstram J. 🟨,
85', Lundstram J. ↓, Waruih A. ↑,
88', Gilmour H. ↓, Burger J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 14).

Rochdale is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eastleigh is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eastleigh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rochdale is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Rochdale - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
11.11.25	York City - Rochdale	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Boston United - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Carlisle United - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Eastleigh - Walsall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
12.04.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	4:0
21.09.24	Eastleigh - Rochdale	4:2
16.03.24	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:4
19.08.23	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0

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