Match Info

National League - Round 19

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	10
	1.26	5.7	8.8
	1.24	6.28	9.69
	1.40	4.64	6.81	Watch
	1.24	5.45	9.15
	1.37	4.75	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	5.35 ↑ (4.64)	8.52 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
71.7%

Draw
17.4%

Aldershot Town
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.1%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Rochdale - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Aldershot will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 8. Gilmour H. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 2. Gordon K. 33. Beckwith S. 30. Berkoe K. 4. East R. 21. McBride C. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	16. Nash P. (G) 28. Taylor A. 25. Nightingale W. 36. Armitage W. 12. Anderson K. 7. Hargreaves C. 11. Jones R. 31. Sheckleford R. 19. Hill R. (C) 9. Thomas K. 18. Rai K.
Substitutes
12. Amantchi L. 18. Barlow A. 19. Burger J. 40. Henderson I. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J.	1. Dewhurst M. (G) 8. Frost T. 23. Ghandour H. 17. Henry J. 5. Jackson B. 42. Penney M. 32. Tetek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Anderson K. 🟨,
61', Berkoe K. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
62', McBride C. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Gilmour H. ⚽, Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
71', Rodney D. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
72', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
79', Thomas K. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
79', Rai K. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
83', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
88', Barlow A. 🟨,
90+3', Jones R. 🟨,
90+3', Henry J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 4.

Rochdale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aldershot has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rochdale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
11.11.25	York City - Rochdale	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Boston United - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
28.10.25	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Woking - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
08.11.25	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:3 ✺
04.11.25	Boreham Wood - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Aldershot Town	2:1 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Aldershot Town - Southampton U21	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.03.25	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:0
07.09.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2
27.01.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	3:1
18.11.23	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	2:1
English FA Cup
16.12.14	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	4:1
07.12.14	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:0
English League Two
29.03.13	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	1:1

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