Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Moss Lane (Altrincham)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Altrincham		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.2
	2.05	3.6	3.15
	2.11	3.89	3.12
	1.19	5.33	21.78	Watch
	2.05	3.54	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)	3.97 ↑ (3.63)	6.89 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
57.1%

Draw
27.2%

Tamworth
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altrincham's performance.

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altrincham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Altrincham - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Altrincham will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tamworth (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Altrincham (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Tamworth (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 3 - 30%). Tamworth (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 4. Baines L. (C) 2. Banks L. 22. Crawford T. 9. Gale J. 40. Kirk C. 11. Knowles J. 8. Marriott I. 6. Osborne E. 3. Reed S. 34. Sassi D.	1. Singh J. (G) 6. Bates A. 5. Digie K. 15. Donkor K. 10. Enoru B. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 27. Lynch O. 8. Milnes B. 14. Mols S. 7. Sayer H.
Substitutes
27. Fallon L. (G) 18. German O. 14. Kosylo M. 10. Ward K. 17. Weaver L.	18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 9. Duku I. 19. McGlinchey T. 21. Phillips L. (G) 38. Ponticelli J. 16. Riley J. 12. Rye J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Bates A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Digie K. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Banks L. ⚽, Osborne E. (A),
66', Banks L. 🟨,
72', Sayer H. ↓, Duku I. ↑,
72', Mols S. ↓, Ponticelli J. ↑,
72', Enoru B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Digie K. ⚽, Milnes B. (A),
83', Milnes B. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Bates A. ⚽,
86', Gale J. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
86', Osborne E. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
90+4', Duku I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

Recent form of Altrincham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tamworth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Altrincham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Altrincham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Altrincham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
27.09.25	Yeovil Town - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Altrincham - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Altrincham - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Boreham Wood - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Tamworth
English National League
27.09.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tamworth - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Tamworth - Everton U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.05.25	Altrincham - Tamworth	1:1
28.09.24	Tamworth - Altrincham	1:2
English National League North
29.04.17	Tamworth - Altrincham	2:1
03.12.16	Altrincham - Tamworth	1:2

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