Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sutton United		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.55
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.48	3.4	2.62
	2.48	3.49	2.78
	5.02	3.47	1.70	Watch
	2.49	3.34	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.71)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	2.5 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
33.7%

Draw
28.1%

Tamworth
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sutton United - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. (C) 10. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S. 5. Phipps H. 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 3. Vincent L. 20. Wadham J.	1. Singh J. (G) 6. Bates A. 5. Digie K. 15. Donkor K. 9. Duku I. 10. Enoru B. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 16. Riley J. 20. Roberts T. 4. Tonks T.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 24. Boutin N. 19. Crichlow K. 26. Eccleston J. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D. 15. Tizzard W.	2. Curley M. 27. Lynch O. 19. McGlinchey T. 7. Milnes B. 14. Mols S. 12. Rye J. . Sayer H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
11', Sims J. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Riley J. (Pen),
20', 0 - 2, Roberts T. ⚽, Tonks T. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Simper L. ⚽, Harris J. J. (A),
30', Hollis H. ↓, Rye J. ↑,
37', 2 - 2, Simper L. ⚽, Pruti E. (A),
38', 2 - 3, Duku I. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
43', Wadham J. 🟨,
45+2', Roberts T. 🟨,
45+5', Rye J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Pruti E. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
64', Odelusi S. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
64', Jones A. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
71', Tonks T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
71', Enoru B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
78', Harris J. J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
79', Digie K. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Sutton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	3:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL
- Tamworth
English National League
09.09.25	York City - Tamworth	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
02.09.25	Braintree Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
07.01.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	1:0
English National League
21.12.24	Sutton United - Tamworth	1:2
10.08.24	Tamworth - Sutton United	1:1

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