Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Sutton United		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.55
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.48	3.4	2.62
	2.48	3.49	2.78
	5.02	3.47	1.70	Watch
	2.49	3.34	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.71)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	2.5 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
33.7%

Draw
28.1%

Tamworth
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sutton United - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. (C) 10. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S. 5. Phipps H. 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 3. Vincent L. 20. Wadham J.	1. Singh J. (G) 6. Bates A. 5. Digie K. 15. Donkor K. 9. Duku I. 10. Enoru B. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 16. Riley J. 20. Roberts T. 4. Tonks T.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 24. Boutin N. 19. Crichlow K. 26. Eccleston J. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D. 15. Tizzard W.	2. Curley M. 27. Lynch O. 19. McGlinchey T. 7. Milnes B. 14. Mols S. 12. Rye J. . Sayer H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
11', Sims J. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Riley J. (Pen),
20', 0 - 2, Roberts T. ⚽, Tonks T. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Simper L. ⚽, Harris J. J. (A),
30', Hollis H. ↓, Rye J. ↑,
37', 2 - 2, Simper L. ⚽, Pruti E. (A),
38', 2 - 3, Duku I. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
43', Wadham J. 🟨,
45+2', Roberts T. 🟨,
45+5', Rye J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Pruti E. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
64', Odelusi S. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
64', Jones A. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
71', Tonks T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
71', Enoru B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
78', Harris J. J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
79', Digie K. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Sutton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	3:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL
- Tamworth
English National League
09.09.25	York City - Tamworth	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
02.09.25	Braintree Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
07.01.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	1:0
English National League
21.12.24	Sutton United - Tamworth	1:2
10.08.24	Tamworth - Sutton United	1:1

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