Match Info

National League - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Moss Lane (Altrincham)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Altrincham		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.5
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.8	3.5
	1.82	4.29	3.66
	2.05	3.67	3.17	Watch
	1.9	3.68	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.07)	3.79 ↑ (3.52)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
49.1%

Draw
24.3%

Sutton United
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Altrincham - Sutton United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Altrincham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 4. Baines L. (C) 2. Banks L. 9. Gale J. 23. Golden T. 11. Knowles J. 8. Marriott I. 6. Osborne E. 20. Reddin K. 34. Sassi D. 10. Ward K.	1. Sims J. (G) 24. Boutin N. 17. Jones A. (C) 10. Nadesan A. 18. Ogbonna D. 5. Phipps H. 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 3. Vincent L. 20. Wadham J.
Substitutes
24. Barnes S. 7. Crankshaw O. 22. Crawford T. 27. Fallon L. (G) 40. Kirk C. 3. Reed S. 17. Weaver L.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 33. Halim M. 23. Harris J. J. 34. Njoku B. 6. Odelusi S. 31. Reeves A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Vincent L. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Nadesan A. ⚽,
24', Phipps H. 🟨,
36', Harris J. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ward K. ↓, Crawford T. ↑,
46', Baines L. ↓, Barnes S. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Knowles J. ⚽, Osborne E. (A),
55', Boutin N. 🟨,
64', Banks L. ↓, Reed S. ↑,
65', Phipps H. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
74', Jones A. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
76', Taylor J. 🟨,
78', Ogbonna D. ↓, Odelusi S. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Gale J. ⚽,
90', Knowles J. ↓, Kirk C. ↑,
90', Reddin K. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
90+4', Eccleston J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 20).

In recent matches, Altrincham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sutton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Altrincham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Altrincham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Altrincham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Eastleigh - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Altrincham - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Morecambe - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Sutton United
English National League
03.09.25	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	3:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.12.24	Altrincham - Sutton United	1:0
17.08.24	Sutton United - Altrincham	5:0
17.04.21	Altrincham - Sutton United	0:4
09.01.21	Sutton United - Altrincham	2:2

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