The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 38.5%
Draw 32%
Agropecuario Argentino 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
32.5%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
31.9%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
23.5%
35.3%
Alvarado - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Agropecuario will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarado: 17.8% – 64.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 9. Belinetz O. 4. Bettini M. 8. Jaurena S. 5. Leyes N. 7. Mansilla M. 3. Monzon L. 6. Ortiz N. D. 11. Rambert T. 2. Robledo A. 10. Sanchez G.
1. Salort G. (G) 9. Gagliardi A. 2. Herrera M. 5. Lemos D. 6. Lettieri E. 10. Marcioni J. 7. Melo A. 4. Montero A. 3. Sánchez F. 11. Silcan E. 8. Villarreal M.
Substitutes
15. Aleo A. 18. Becker D. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 14. Malagueno F. 19. Moreira L. 17. Ochoa J. 20. Rebecchi L. 13. Tecilla N. 16. Vadala G.
12. Alastra A. (G) 14. Camisassa B. 18. Cucchi P. 16. Martinez E. 19. Moreno E. 17. Mosqueira R. 15. Navarro 20. Ruiz F. C. 13. Schonfeld A.
Coaches
Giganti M.
Gomez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
20', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
29', Bettini M. 🟨,
37', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Melo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mansilla M. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
46', Bettini M. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
46', Silcan E. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
54', Rambert T. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
58', Melo A. 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
67', Marcioni J. 🟨,
69', Melo A. ↓, Mosqueira R. ↑,
89', Villarreal M. ↓, Camisassa B. ↑,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0.
Recent matches Alvarado is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Agropecuario is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alvarado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Argentina
Watch
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Lungarzo J. (G) 
Sánchez F. 
Ruiz F. C. 
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