The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 36.2%
Draw 34.5%
San Martín de San Juan 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
32.6%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
31.3%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
45.5%
18.2%
Alvarado - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Bettini M. 2. Robledo A. (C) 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Monzon L. 8. Jaurena S. 5. Leyes N. 7. Makarte R. 11. Becker D. 10. Sanchez G. 9. Belinetz O.
1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Caseres R. 6. Marchio J. 3. Alvarez L. 8. Lopez S. 5. Olguin G. 7. Casa M. 11. Gutierrez M. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
14. Aleo A. 15. Fernandez T. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 16. Lamardo G. 19. Miori M. 18. Moreira L. 17. Ochoa J. 20. Rebecchi L. 13. Tecilla N.
17. Avaro E. 20. Barrera S. 12. Bonansea F. (G) 16. Escalante L. T. 15. Galvan M. 13. Heredia A. 14. Masino M. 19. Montagna E. 18. Zacaria J.
Coaches
Giganti M.
Antuna R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Makarte R. 🟨,
33', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
38', Belinetz O. (Pen),
38', Caseres R. 🟥,
43', Casa M. ↓, Heredia A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ortiz N. D. ↓, Tecilla N. ↑,
46', Makarte R. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
60', Becker D. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
76', Gonzalez S. ↓, Escalante L. T. ↑,
76', Gonzalez F. ↓, Avaro E. ↑,
81', Monzon L. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
81', Sanchez G. ↓, Moreira L. ↑,
84', Alvarez L. ↓, Masino M. ↑,
84', Gutierrez M. 🟨,
84', Gutierrez M. ↓, Zacaria J. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0.
Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Martín is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.