The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 27.3%
Draw 33.1%
Chacarita Juniors 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
33%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
31.8%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chacarita Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
63.6%
18.2%
Alvarado - Chacarita Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Chacarita will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Bettini M. 2. Robledo A. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Monzon L. 7. Mansilla M. 5. Leyes N. 8. Jaurena S. 11. Sanchez G. 10. Vadala G. 9. Belinetz O.
1. Arzamendia M. (G) 4. Alvarez S. 2. Oneto T. 6. Brunet N. 3. Chavez N. 5. Watson N. 8. Melendez M. 7. Pombo C. 10. Pisano M. 11. Brandan F. 9. Salinas R.
Substitutes
14. Aleo A. 17. Boasso F. 15. Fernandez T. 16. Lamardo G. 19. Miori M. 20. Rebecchi L. 13. Tecilla N. 18. Torres S.
18. Belloso M. 19. Beltramone E. 20. Cocimano S. 13. Fernandez T. 16. Figueroa V. 12. Losas F. (G) 15. Passaglia J. 14. Perdomo L. 17. Rodriguez Matias
Coaches
Giganti M.
Biggeri A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Vadala G. 🟨,
27', Belinetz O. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Oneto T. (Own goal),
35', Watson N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Pombo C. 🟨,
48', Brunet N. 🟥,
51', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
63', Pisano M. 🟨,
63', Sanchez G. ↓, Lamardo G. ↑,
69', Monzon L. 🟨,
73', Pombo C. ↓, Cocimano S. ↑,
73', Brandan F. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
75', Leyes N. 🟨,
77', Oneto T. 🟨,
79', Melendez M. ↓, Beltramone E. ↑,
79', Chavez N. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
80', Monzon L. ↓, Tecilla N. ↑,
80', Vadala G. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
85', Lungarzo J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Figueroa V. ⚽,
89', Salinas R. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Robledo A. ⚽,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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Lungarzo J. (G) 
Arzamendia M. (G) 
