The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Tucumán 49.8%
Draw 32.1%
Alvarado 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
27.1%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
27.1%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Tucumán's form might have worsened.
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Osores M. 6. Orellana J. 3. Quiroz F. 8. Castro N. 5. Garcia M. 11. Esquivel J. 7. Garcia F. 9. Pino M. 10. Cuevas J.
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Silva K. 6. Blasi B. 3. Irazoque A. 8. Bolivar A. 5. Mansilla M. 10. Miori M. 11. Gobetto J. 7. Martinez E. 9. Susvielles J.
Substitutes
19. Cainelli N. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 14. Gonzalez M. E. 16. Hachen G. 18. Monroy G. 17. Paz A. 13. Penalba T. 15. Soraire J. 20. Spetale A.
15. Aleo A. 17. Becker D. 19. Bolzicco T. 13. Fernandez T. 14. Gorgerino C. 12. Henricot F. (G) 18. Ortale M. 20. Ortiz D. 16. Russo F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Castro N. 🟨,
45+1', Murillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Martinez E. 🟨,
90', Blasi B. 🟨,
90', Garcia F. 🟨,
90+4', Soraire J. 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4.
San Martin T is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Alvarado has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, San Martin T is the clear favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
Argentina
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Ortiz D. 
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