Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2


	Juventud Antoniana		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.75	4.10
	2.10	2.80	3.55
	1.93	2.94	4.35
	1.99	2.92	4.46
	1.91	2.70	4.30
	1.95	2.78	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	4.19 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Antoniana
46.1%

Draw
32.3%

Alvarado
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

32%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Juventud Antoniana - Alvarado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abraham F. (G) 10. Assennato T. 6. Fernandez F. 4. Gomez N. 11. Marchiori T. 2. Monti I. 9. Palacios Alvarenga P. 8. Palacios J. 3. Sanabria I. 5. Vargas M. 7. Vicedo M.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 7. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 4. Fernandez T. 6. Gorgerino C. 10. Gutierrez S. 8. Mansilla M. 3. Perez M. 9. Sosa G.
Substitutes
19. Bracamonte G. 17. Costilla A. 15. Flores P. 16. Iturrieta J. 14. Lopez A. 13. Morinigo A. 20. Mune P. 12. Nadal J. (G) 18. Taborda G.	13. Berra T. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Makarte R. 20. Melean A. 18. Miori M. 14. Nunez L. 19. Pinoni F. 17. Speck N. 12. Zapata A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Sanabria I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Marchiori T. ↓, Iturrieta J. ↑,
46', Palacios Alvarenga P. ↓, Mune P. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Mansilla M. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Gutierrez S. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', Sanabria I. ↓, Taborda G. ↑,
62', Palacios J. ↓, Costilla A. ↑,
73', Castellano A. ↓, Hofstetter P. J. ↑,
78', Assennato T. ↓, Bracamonte G. ↑,
90+2', Mansilla M. ↓, Berra T. ↑,
90+2', Gutierrez S. ↓, Pinoni F. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Juventud Antoniana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alvarado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventud Antoniana is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juventud Antoniana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Juventud Antoniana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvarado - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	0:3 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Antoniana - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWTW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.07.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWT

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