Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jose Antonio Valle (Mar del Plata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports


	Kimberley de Mar del Plata		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.55	2.80
	2.45	2.70	2.90
	2.76	2.47	2.91
	2.77	2.56	2.97	Watch
	2.70	2.40	2.85
	2.74	2.71	2.99
	2.65	2.65	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
33.7%

Draw
35%

Alvarado
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

33%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

33.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 4. Loscalso T. 3. Manas F. 5. Miori M. 11. Russo F. 8. Tello L. 7. Ullua E. 2. Vazquez A. 10. Zarate J.	1. Bilbao E. (C) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 4. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 6. Fernandez T. 10. Gutierrez S. 7. Makarte R. 8. Mansilla M. 3. Perez M. 9. Sosa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, Gorgerino C. ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Cervera G. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Kimberley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alvarado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kimberley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kimberley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Cipolletti	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Alvarado - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Juventud Antoniana - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	2:2
11.04.26	Alvarado - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0

Upcoming Matches