Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)


	Guillermo Brown		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.62	2.92
	2.6	2.52	3.08
	3.26	2.72	2.53	Watch
	2.62	2.55	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.6)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)	2.92 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
33.2%

Draw
35.3%

Atlético de Rafaela
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

35.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

35.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soria M. (G) 6. Actis D. 3. Bravo I. 5. Chiavetto A. 11. Gimenez M. 7. Gonzalez L. 8. Kostelak A. 4. Mera B. 9. Morales E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 7. Leineker C. 4. Martinez M. 11. Pastorelli A. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Wuattier E. R.
Substitutes
18. Ilarregui F. 13. Lazarte G. 19. Lopez R. 17. Persia M. 15. Ramirez M. 16. Rodriguez F. 20. Trigo S. 12. Ullua S. (G) 14. Zubowicz M.	20. Aquino D. 12. Bergia M. (G) 13. Fuyana J. 15. Jaime D. 17. Marchiori T. 18. Marquez E. 14. Morales L. 16. Ontivero L. 19. Protti I.
Coaches
Tripodi E.	Juarez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Leineker C. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Affranchino F. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Morales E. ⚽,
45+1', Rivero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mera B. ↓, Persia M. ↑,
46', Pastorelli A. ↓, Marchiori T. ↑,
46', Gimenez M. 🟨,
52', Fernandez G. ↓, Fuyana J. ↑,
55', Paparelli R. 🟨,
62', Albertengo L. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
66', Persia M. 🟨,
69', Chiavetto A. 🟨,
80', Leineker C. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
80', Affranchino F. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', Kostelak A. ↓, Ilarregui F. ↑,
83', Bravo I. ↓, Zubowicz M. ↑,
84', Chiavetto A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guillermo Brown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.10.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 penalties ✺
12.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	4:1
05.11.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	0:1
11.07.21	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
07.10.18	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0
04.02.18	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:3

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