Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Alvarado		Círculo Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.40	3.70	7.75
	1.4	3.7	8.1
	1.41	3.65	7.82
	1.47	3.66	8.72	Watch
	1.4	3.4	9.5
	1.37	3.68	10.1
	1.36	3.88	8.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	3.67 ↓ (3.95)	8.69 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
64.8%

Draw
24.8%

Círculo Deportivo
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.8%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 8. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 4. Fernandez T. 10. Gutierrez S. 6. Hofstetter P. J. 3. Perez M. 7. Speck N.	1. Fernandez P. (G) 8. Banchio R. 7. De Luca F. E. 5. Gomez L. 10. Grahl F. 3. Leguizamon M. 2. Martinez J. 9. Opazo D. 11. Rius C. 6. Rojas F. 4. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 14. Gorgerino C. 16. Makarte R. 20. Melean A. 18. Miori M. 15. Nunez L. 17. Pinoni F. 19. Sosa G. 12. Zapata A. (G)	18. Castelli B. 16. Galeano A. 17. Goiburu E. 20. Iriberri I. 12. Lerena S. (G) 14. Lucero J. 19. Marin Q. 15. Sasso M. 13. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Cervera G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Alvarado is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Círculo Deportivo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alvarado is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Alvarado will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
07.06.26	Alvarado - Sol de Mayo	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Alvarado - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWW
- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Alvarado	0:1

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