Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini (Cordoba)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.25
	1.83	3	4.5
	1.8	3.3	4.4
	1.8	3.15	5.7
	1.75	3	5
	1.8	3.22	5.25
	1.8	3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.13)	3.12 ↑ (2.99)	5.04 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
51.8%

Draw
29.8%

Alvarado
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

30.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's performance.

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvarado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Río Cuarto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvarado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for E Río Cuarto: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Zurbriggen S. 3. Castet F. 8. Cainelli N. 5. Leyes N. 7. Romero F. 11. Bajamich M. 9. Silba L. 10. Talpone N.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Olivera L. 8. Jaurena S. 5. Vitale J. 7. Malagueno F. 10. Fernandez J. L. (C) 11. Boasso F. 9. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
14. Alberione A. 13. Arturia G. 18. Belluschi F. 15. Pavon A. 12. Peralta A. (G) 19. Reynaga R. 16. Rosales M. 17. Valiente M. 20. Villalba G.	20. Albertengo M. 17. Arias J. 13. Berra T. 14. Bettini M. 18. Bolanos E. 15. Lamardo G. 16. Makarte R. 19. Rebecchi L. 12. Zapata A. (G)
Coaches
Delfino I.	Martinez J. M.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 2.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.08.23	Banfield - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.07.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Martín de San Juan	3:2 ✺
22.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.08.23	Alvarado - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.23	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1
14.08.22	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1
23.08.21	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0
10.04.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	2:0
13.10.19	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:2
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.04.19	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	2:1
18.02.18	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	1:0

Upcoming Matches