Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.55
	4.75	4.2	1.53
	4.54	4.34	1.6
	4.54	4.34	1.61
	4.95	3.95	1.56
	4.75	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (5.09)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
19.7%

Draw
21.8%

Mickleover Sports
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

21.7%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.3%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Alvechurch - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
88', 0 - 1, Waite T. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, Waite T. ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 2, Gordon-Hutton J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Alvechurch is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mickleover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alvechurch have a series of home games.

In this match Mickleover is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvechurch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvechurch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
23.03.24	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Alvechurch - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:4 ✺
05.03.24	Alvechurch - Halesowen Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Mickleover Sports
English Southern League Central Division
26.03.24	Coalville Town - Mickleover Sports	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mickleover Sports - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Redditch United - Mickleover Sports	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Leiston - Mickleover Sports	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Mickleover Sports - Kettering Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.08.23	Mickleover Sports - Alvechurch	4:2
04.04.23	Alvechurch - Mickleover Sports	2:1
25.02.23	Mickleover Sports - Alvechurch	1:0

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