The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvechurch 32.8%
Draw 27.7%
AFC Telford United 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
25.9%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
26.3%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Alvechurch - AFC Telford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Stenson M. (Pen),
36', 1 - 1, Willis J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).
Alvechurch is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Telford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alvechurch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Telford have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvechurch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Alvechurch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Telford United - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.