Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.65	3.75	1.82
	3.63	3.89	1.81
	3.78	3.68	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
24.8%

Draw
24.8%

Chelmsford City
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

25.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Alvechurch - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Taylor L. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Wakefield K. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 2, Taylor L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Alvechurch has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelmsford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alvechurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelmsford is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Worcester City - Alvechurch	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Bury Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Alvechurch - Leamington	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Alvechurch - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Royston Town - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	2:5 ✺
30.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWT

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