Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Torres M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Alverca		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.82	3.17	2.72
	2.75	3.08	2.65	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.67	3.26	2.57	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
34.6%

Draw
29.5%

Vizela
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Alverca aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Alverca - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 13. Paulo Eduardo 5. Varela F. (C) 74. Shinga K. 16. Pires M. 40. Ageu E. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho	13. Morro M. A. (G) 77. Jojo 4. Rhyner J. 41. Correia A. (C) 19. Lebedenko O. 20. Semedo Y. 22. Busnic A. 90. Nascimento D. 38. Tavares M. 23. Milovanovic U. 68. Obah P.
Substitutes
25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 17. Harramiz S. 89. Lima J. 11. Luiz Miguel 3. Oliveira A. 35. Pedro Bicalho 23. Silva P. (G) 6. Velazquez S.	8. Bastunov A. 17. Joao Reis 97. Loppy D. 5. Mbaye M. 24. Morschel H. 47. Ramos P. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 18. Semedo V. 12. Tol M.
Coaches
Costa V.	Lamas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Andrezinho ⚽,
6', Milovanovic U. 🟨,
11', 1 - 1, Tavares M. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
25', 3 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
41', 4 - 1, Carter A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tavares M. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
46', Busnic A. ↓, Morschel H. ↑,
46', Jojo ↓, Tol M. ↑,
58', Shinga K. 🟨,
62', Shinga K. ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
62', Milovanovic U. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
73', Pires M. 🟨,
73', Obah P. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
76', Carter A. ↓, Harramiz S. ↑,
76', Martins D. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
84', David Bruno ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
84', Brenner ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
84', 4 - 2, Bastunov A. ⚽,
87', Correia A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Alverca - Rio Ave	2:3 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Benfica B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Alverca - Feirense	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Torreense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
24.11.24	Vizela - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Feirense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTT

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