Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Portugal	Benfica TV


	Benfica B		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.9
	1.87	3.1	3.75
	1.9	3.4	4
	1.96	3.37	4.26
	2	3.29	3.82	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.92	3.35	4.08
	1.9	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)	3.33 ↓ (3.67)	3.95 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
48.6%

Draw
27.9%

Alverca
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Benfica B - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gomes A. (G) 71. Santos L. 66. Wynder J. 76. Gustavo Marques 78. Kiko (C) 86. Prioste D. 60. Felix N. 79. Felix H. 84. Rego J. 99. Farias L. 89. Varela G.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 13. Paulo Eduardo 5. Varela F. (C) 74. Shinga K. 16. Pires M. 10. Andrezinho 40. Ageu E. 35. Pedro Bicalho 36. Thauan Lara 7. Brenner 9. Carter A.
Substitutes
55. Fonseca J. 90. Lima I. 83. Luis R. 97. Melro J. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 77. Sousa G. 73. Souza B. 82. Spencer D. 68. Veloso J.	22. David Bruno 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 89. Joao Marcos 11. Luiz Miguel 88. Martins D. 3. Oliveira A. 23. Silva P. (G) 6. Velazquez S.
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Felix H. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Andrezinho ⚽,
34', Felix H. 🟨,
40', Ageu E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Pires M. 🟨,
62', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
62', Andrezinho 🟨,
66', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
66', Shinga K. ↓, David Bruno ↑,
66', Paulo Eduardo ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
68', Farias L. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
80', Santos L. ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
80', Rego J. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
82', Felix H. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
83', Gustavo Marques ↓, Luis R. ↑,
84', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Wynder J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alverca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.24	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Benfica B - Tondela	1:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
17.10.24	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.10.24	Benfica B - Chaves	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTWW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.24	Alverca - Feirense	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Torreense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Alverca - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mafra - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTT

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