Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de El Alto (El Alto)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Always Ready		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.5	5.75
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.47	4.84	6.23
	1.46	4.84	6.23
	1.4	4.4	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.7	6.14	Watch
	1.46	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	4.59 ↓ (4.87)	5.99 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Always Ready
64%

Draw
20.4%

Nacional Montevideo
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

17.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Always Ready has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	8.3%	41.7%

Always Ready - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Always Ready will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Always Ready: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baroja A. (G) 13. Cuellar H. 5. Suarez M. 18. Caicedo L. 2. Medina D. 10. Terrazas A. 14. Carabali J. 21. Robson Matheus 11. Rodriguez D. 17. Romero D. 9. Tanque W.	12. Mejia L. (G) 11. Baez Corradi G. 13. Antoni M. 5. Romero F. 3. Izquierdo J. 14. Lozano L. 19. Gonzalez G. 26. Sanabria L. 17. Ginella F. 7. Galeano A. 9. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
31. Abastoflor C. 38. Alanoca A. 8. Del Valle A. 15. Flores Gutierrez W. 7. Herrera J. 27. Martinez J. 40. Paniagua M. 99. Rodriguez E. (G) 16. Salazar M. 6. Taborga E. 3. Vaca P. 30. Zenteno Rojas A.	6. Cairus F. 16. Castro A. 33. Chagas Rodrigo 30. Ebere C. 31. Helguera T. 32. Martinez F. 8. Oliva C. 18. Recoba J. 21. Sanchez R. 25. Suarez I. (G) 2. Velazquez E. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Villegas O.	Recoba A.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Always Ready is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Always Ready is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.03.24	Guabirá - Always Ready	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.02.24	Sporting Cristal - Always Ready	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.02.24	Independiente Petroleros - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.02.24	Always Ready - Sporting Cristal	6:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.02.24	Always Ready - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWT
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.03.24	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.02.24	Nacional Montevideo - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.02.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.02.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.02.24	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWW

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