Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.18
	3.49	3.27	2.24
	3.32	3.31	2.17	Watch
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.34	3.19	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
28.1%

Draw
29.4%

Nacional Montevideo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.8%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 3. Strasorier S. 15. Laquidain S. 23. Castillo E. 20. Rabunal M. 5. Garayalde N. 24. Amaro K. 22. Zabala D. 29. Olivera E. 11. Bentancourt R.	1. Mejia L. (G) 30. Barcia B. 4. Coates S. (C) 2. Rogel A. 77. Rodriguez N. 6. Boggio L. 23. Rodriguez L. 10. Dos Santos A. 14. Lodeiro N. 18. Nunez P. 9. Gomez M.
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 31. Barcelo F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R. 8. Mir M. 27. Romero D.	15. Calione P. 21. Candido C. 19. De Los Santos J. 56. Garcia Lantean J. I. 39. Gonzalez L. 31. Martinez R. 5. Pintado J. 25. Suarez I. (G) 27. Veron T. 32. Viera T.
Coaches
Ferrin G.	Bava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Gomez M. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 1 - 1, Bentancourt R. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Gomez M. 🟨,
33', Strasorier S. 🟨,
42', Castillo E. 🟨,
45', Coates S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dos Santos A. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
46', Lodeiro N. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
51', Zabala D. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Gomez M. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Perdomo F. ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
71', Rabunal M. 🟥,
78', Nunez P. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
78', Olivera E. ↓, de Mello G. ↑,
83', Garayalde N. 🟨,
83', Barcia B. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
85', Rogel A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Veron T. ⚽,
90+4', Boggio L. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nacional could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nacional	9	5	2	2	13:9	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo	3:3 ✺
24.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTTL
- Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.09.25	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	3:1
26.03.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2
08.09.24	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0
15.06.24	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1
25.02.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:1
Uruguay Copa
06.02.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.08.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:0

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