Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 6

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	América Mineiro		Cianorte

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.12
	2.26	3.04	3.11
	1.75	3.3	4
	2.2	3.1	3.09
	1.73	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.73)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	3.46 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
44.9%

Draw
28.6%

Cianorte
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

América Mineiro - Cianorte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 16. Ale 2. Emerson Santos 55. Goncalves O. 42. Jhonny 3. Nathan Pelae 6. Paulinho 4. Rafa Barcelos 11. Thauan 9. Willian Bigode 10. Yago Souza	1. Igor (G) 3. Allan Passos 2. Cristovam 28. Crysthyan 13. Dener 10. Felipe Laurindo 11. Hiaguinho 4. Jakao 5. Kaka 9. Robson Luiz 6. Sony
Substitutes
5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 88. Jhonatan Lima 22. Leo Alaba 30. Montes L. 12. Samuel 77. Segovia M. 44. Thallyson 19. William (G) 33. Yago Santos 67. Yarlen	17. Adisa D. 19. Cabeca D. 18. Carlito Thiago 16. Iago Motta 8. Ibson 27. Luciano 12. Luiz Fabiano (G) 15. Paulo Roberto 14. Ramom Soares 7. Reifit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', 🟨,
15', Allan Passos 🟨,
26', Dener 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Kaka ↓, Ibson ↑,
46', Thauan ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
46', Rafa Barcelos ↓, Thallyson ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Yago Souza ⚽,
56', Felipe Laurindo ↓, Carlito Thiago ↑,
56', Robson Luiz ↓, Reifit ↑,
56', Crysthyan ↓, Adisa D. ↑,
59', Nathan Pelae ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
62', Leo Alaba 🟨,
67', Ale ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
67', Yago Souza ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Reifit ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
81', Ibson ↓, Luciano ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Allan Passos ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Jhonatan Lima ⚽,
87', Jhonatan Lima 🟨,
90+4', Cristovam 🟨,
90+6', Adisa D. 🟨,

Preview

América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cianorte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

América MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.04.26	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	América Mineiro - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW
- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	São Luiz - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Cianorte - Juventude	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	FC Cascavel - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cianorte - Joinville	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	São Bernardo - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWLW

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