Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	América Mineiro		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	1.98	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.11	3.39	3.9
	1.96	3.41	3.83
	1.95	3.2	3.8
	2.05	3.24	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.11)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	3.69 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
46.2%

Draw
28.5%

CRB Maceio
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

América Mineiro - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 22. Leo Alaba 3. Nathan Pelae 2. Emerson Santos (C) 6. Paulinho 8. Felipe Amaral 77. Segovia M. 21. Eduardo Person 33. Yago Santos 11. Thauan 17. Gonzalo Mastriani	12. Matheus Albino (C) 32. Hereda 44. Henri 45. De Lucca 82. Wallace 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 28. Mikael 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 97. Dada Belmonte
Substitutes
16. Ale 70. Dorna K. 55. Goncalves O. 88. Jhonatan Lima 30. Montes L. 20. Paulo Victor 80. Pedro Paranhos 44. Thallyson 19. William (G) 9. Willian Bigode 10. Yago Souza	22. Bressan 18. Guilherme 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 2. Kevin 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 33. Lyncon 60. Maycon 17. Thiaguinho 1. Vitor Caetano (G)
Coaches
Roger Silva	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
8', Paulinho 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Emerson Santos ⚽, Paulinho (A),
36', Douglas Baggio 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Dada Belmonte ⚽,
45+3', Mikael 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Felipe Amaral ↓, Ale ↑,
59', Douglas Baggio ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
64', Nathan Pelae 🟨,
67', Eduardo Person ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
67', Segovia M. ↓, Dorna K. ↑,
70', Pedro Castro ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
70', Mikael ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
75', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
75', Yago Santos ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
81', Dada Belmonte ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Guilherme Pato ⚽, Guilherme Estrella (A),
88', Guilherme Estrella 🟨,
90+5', Thauan 🟨,
90+6', Danielzinho 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

CRB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

América MG could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in América MG: Artur (Inactive) Cassio Meneses (Inactive) Dorna K. (Inactive) Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Heitor (Inactive) Rafa Barcelos (Yellow Cards) Ricardo Silva (Inactive)

There will not play in CRB: Crystopher Ribeiro (Injury) Geovane (Inactive) Thiaguinho (Inactive)

There are questionable in CRB: Dada Belmonte (Injury) Leo Campos (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, América MG won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

CRB: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
19	America MG ✔	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.04.26	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	América Mineiro - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTWL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	CRB Maceio - Sousa	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.10.25	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:1
26.06.25	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	1:2
29.09.24	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	2:1
15.06.24	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	2:1
26.12.20	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:0
28.09.20	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	0:0
03.10.19	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:0

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